11PM Updated Advisory on Tropical Storm Noel

0
1441
023526w_sm.gif


  

DOWNLOAD YOUR TRACKING MAP: at_track_chart120060925.pdf
BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM NOEL ADVISORY NUMBER  14

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL162007

1100 PM EDT TUE OCT 30 2007...NOEL STILL DUMPING HEAVY RAINS OVER CUBA AND HISPANIOLA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES

OF SANCTI SPIRITUS...CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...

GRANMA...HOLGUIN...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND GUANTANAMO.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CENTRAL AND

NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS.

INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN FLORIDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF NOEL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE

INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED

BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NOEL WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.1 WEST OR VERY NEAR

CAMAGUEY CUBA AND ABOUT 255 MILES...405 KM ...SOUTH OF NASSAU.

NOEL HAS BEEN MOVING ERRATICALLY OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS

MOVING GENERALLY TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR.  A

GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST AND NORTH IS EXPECTED OVER

THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...NOEL IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF

OF THE NORTH COAST OF CUBA DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER

GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED WHEN THE CENTER MOVES OVER

WATER.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM

FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.

ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE LIKELY WITHIN THE WARNING AREAS.

NOEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5

TO 10 INCHES OVER HISPANIOLA....WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM STORM TOTALS

OF 30 INCHES.  TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH

ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE OVER

SOUTHEASTERN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS.  THESE RAINS...PARTICULARLY IN

HISPANIOLA... ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS

AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...21.4 N...78.1 W.  MOVEMENT

TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE

CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500

AM EDT.